The International Energy
Agency on August, 12 raised its
forecast for global oil demand this
year and next, expecting increased
appetite for energy in China while
demand is still expected to fall in
Europe and North America.
The Paris-based agency added
70,000 barrels a day to its 2010
forecast of global oil demand. The
new prediction of 85.3 million
barrels a day is a 1.6 percent
increase over this year.
In its closely watched
monthly survey, the IEA also
increased its 2009 forecast by
190,000 barrels a day to 83.9
million barrels a day, but noted
this is still 2.7 percent lower than
2008. The IEA said "These upward
changes have barely dented the sharp
demand contraction expected this
year.
"The evidence of bottoming
out of the global recession is
patchy and global gas-oil demand - a
key indicator of economic health -
remains significantly subdued, "it
said.
China's economy has
continued to grow even as Europe and
America stumbled into recession in
the wake of the financial crisis,
which started in 2007 as banks
suffered heavy losses on securities
backed by mortgages to people with
shaky credit.
A rebound in oil demand next
year would mark the end of two
straight years of falling global oil
demand.
The IEA said its forecast
for demand in the member nations of
the rich-world
Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development
is "broadly unchanged" in 2010 and
"slightly" higher this year.
Its prediction for non-OECD demand
is higher for both years after a
"reappraisal of Chinese demand
prospects."
Chinese forecasts were raised with a
prediction of 2.8 percent growth
this year and 4 percent next year.
Its European forecasts of a decline
of 4.3 percent this year and 0.4
percent next year were unchanged. In
North America, the 2009 expectation
of a 5.1 percent fall was unchanged,
and the 2010 prediction of a 0.9
percent rise was down slightly.
The annual peak in gasoline sales
during the summer vacation period
failed to materialize for the second
year in a row, the agency said.
THE ASSOCIATED PRESS